The Kremlin has responded with caution, skepticism, and criticism to former U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent shift on Ukraine – from opposing military aid to supporting NATO efforts that arm Kyiv more efficiently – which publically demonstrated his change of position on military aid for Kyiv.

Recent weeks, Trump — often seen by Russian officials as a potential partner in weakening Western unity — has unexpectedly changed his tune, condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as “brutal mistake” and offering conditional support for a new NATO weapons assistance plan. This sudden shift surprised many, especially in Moscow where state media frequently portray Trump favorably.

Peskov described President Donald Trump’s latest statements as both disappointing and not unexpected, alleging he is pandering to domestic audiences as the 2026 U.S. election campaign intensifies.

“We are watching President Trump’s remarks with interest,” Peskov told reporters. “Electoral politics in the US greatly impacts foreign policy positions, so such shifts do not reflect a strategic vision but instead tactical calculations.”

Russian state television once applauded President Trump for his criticisms of NATO and unwillingness to fund foreign wars, but its messaging has since changed dramatically. A number of political talk shows suggested that his remarks represented a betrayal of his earlier “America First” pledges and evidence that no U.S. leader can be trusted to take Moscow’s concerns seriously.

“Trump used to claim Ukraine was not America’s problem, but now he sounds more like a Cold War general,” stated Sergei Markov, a political analyst and former Kremlin adviser, during an appearance on Russia 24. This sent an alarm bell, as Russia must prepare for more confrontation no matter who wins in Washington.

Trump’s response comes against a backdrop of mounting tensions on the battlefield, where Russian forces have recently gained in the Donetsk region while Ukraine, armed with air defense and long-range missile systems supplied by Western countries, continues to resist and counter attack. Analysts suggest his move could indicate renewed Western resolve, further dampening Russia’s hopes for fractured NATO unity.

U.S. officials, meanwhile, have quickly capitalized on President Donald Trump’s shift, with President Joe Biden and his administration welcoming bipartisan momentum for continued support of Ukraine.

But not everyone in Moscow is convinced of Donald Trump’s change of heart.

“Trump can be very unpredictable,” explained Elena Chernenko, a foreign policy journalist with Kommersant. “Today he may support Ukraine; tomorrow his tweets could change his position entirely.” The Kremlin will likely watch to see whether Trump’s actions match up with what has been stated publicly.

Ukrainian officials have cautiously welcomed this development. Mykhailo Podolyak, senior adviser to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and an active user on X (formerly Twitter), offered his opinion by writing on X: “Words matter from U.S. leaders; we hope this signals a united front against Russian aggression.

As the war drags on and global alliances shift, Trump’s repositioning and Russia’s response adds another layer of complexity to an already volatile landscape of Ukraine conflict. Whether this marks a meaningful turning point or simply political theater is yet to be determined.